Развитие мирового рынка полимеров, получаемых каталитической конверсией СО2
https://doi.org/10.18412/1816-0387-2026-4-3-20
Аннотация
Осуществлен анализ уровня разрабатываемых каталитических систем и технологий сополимеризации CO2 с традиционными мономерами и мономерами на основе биосырья. Выполнен обзор данных о мировом рынке диоксида углерода как одного из главных сырьевых компонентов изучаемых технологий, а также конъюнктурные особенности и ведущие компании-производители мирового и региональных рынков СО2-полимерной продукции. Представлены примеры успешной коммерческой реализации рассматриваемых технологий. Согласно прогнозам, рынок СО2-полимеров будет развиваться высокими темпами и к 2033 г. его стоимость может достичь 7,0 млрд долл. При скорости роста рынка на уровне 11,12 % в год. При этом отмечено, что даже несмотря на явные экологические преимущества, пока еще существует много факторов, снижающих конкурентоспособность технологий получения СО2-полимерной продукции.
Ключевые слова
Об авторах
И. А. МакарянРоссия
И. В. Седов
Россия
Список литературы
1. Porosoff M.D., Yan, B., Chen, J.G. // Energy & Environmental Science 2016. V. 9. P. 62–73. https://doi.org/10.1039/C5EE02657A
2. Ramirez A., Gevers L., Chowdhury A.D., Abou-Hamad E., Aguilar-Tapia A., Hazemann J.-L., Wehbe N., Al Abdulghani A.J., Kozlov S.M., Cavallo L., Gascon J. // ChemCatChem. 2019. V. 11(12). P. 2879–2886. https://doi.org/10.1002/cctc.201900762
3. Kyoto protocol. Available online at: http://unfccc.int/essential_background/kyoto_protocol/items/2830.php
4. Final draft of climate deal formally accepted in Paris. CNN. Cable News Network, Turner Broadcasting System, Inc. Available online at: https://www.academia.edu/36485719/Main_assignment_tunvir_sir_Cop21.
5. Crippa M., Guizzardi D., Muntean M., Schaaf E., Solazzo E., Monforti-Ferrario F., Olivier J.G.J., Vignati E. // 2020 Report, EUR 30358 EN, Publications Office of the European Union, Luxembourg, 2020, ISBN 978-92-76-21515-8. https://doi.org/10.2760/143674
6. Leung D.Y.C., Caramanna G., M. Maroto-Valer M.M. // Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 2014. V. 39. P. 426–443. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.093
7. Bui M., Adjiman C.S., Bardow A., Anthony E.J., Boston A., Brown S., Fennell P.S., Fuss S., Galindo A., Hackett L.A., Hallett J.P., Herzog H.J., Jackson G., Kemper J., Krevor S., Maitland G.C., Matuszewski M., Metcalfe I.S., Petit C., Puxty G., Reimer J., Reiner D.M., Rubin E.S., Scott S.A., Shah N., Smit B., Trusler J.P.M., Webley P., Wilcox J., Mac Dowell N. // Energy Environ. Sci. 2018. V. 11(5). P. 1062–1176. https://doi.org/10.1039/C7EE02342A
8. Hepburn C., Adlen E., Beddington J., Carter E.A., Fuss S., Mac Dowell N., Minx J.C., Smith P., Williams C.K. // Nature. 2019. V. 575(7781). P. 87–97. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1681-6.
9. Grignard B., Gennen S., Jerôme C., Kleij A.W., Detrembleur C. // Chem. Soc. Rev. 2019. V. 48. P. 4466–4514. https://doi.org/10.1039/C9CS00047J.
10. Ghiat I., Al-Ansari T. // Journal of CO2 Utilization. 2021. V. 45. Article 101432. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcou.2020.101432
11. Carbon dioxide-based polymers: Turning carbon emissions into plastic. By Karolis Vilcinskas. Prescounter. Article March 2020. Available online at: https://www.prescouter.com/2020/03/carbon-dioxide-based-polymers-turning-carbonemissions-into-plastic/
12. Are emissions-based polymers the future? The plastics industry can lead the way in carbon capture, says IDTechEx report. Available online at: https://www.sustainableplastics.com/news/emissions-based-polymers-look-have-promising-future
13. The rise of Carbon Dioxide (CO2) as a renewable carbon feedstock – More than 1.3 million tonnes capacity for CO2-based products already exist and are expected to at least quadruple by 2030. Press release. nova-Institut GmbH (www.nova-institute.eu) Hürth, 13 April 2023. Available online at: https://renewable-carbon.eu/news/the-rise-of-carbon-dioxide-co2-as-a-renewable-carbon-feedstock-more-than-1-3-million-tonnes-capacity-for-co2-based-products-already-exist-and-are-expected-to-at-least-quadruple-by-2030/
14. Макарян И.А., Седов И.В., Савченко В.И. // Катализ в промышленности. 2023. Т. 23. № 4. С. 6–32. https://doi.org/10.18412/1816-0387-2023-4-6-32. / Makaryan I.A., Sedov I.V., Savchenko V.I. // Catalysis in Industry. 2024. V. 16(10). P. 14–38. https://doi.org/10.1134/S2070050424010045.
15. Макарян И.А., Седов И.В. Технологии производства полимерных материалов методом каталитический конверсии CO2 и эпоксидов // Катализ в промышленности (в печати).
16. Макарян И.А., Седов И.В. Подходы к проведению технико-экономической оценки технологий улавливания, хранения и утилизации СО2 // Катализ в промышленности (в печати).
17. Environmentally friendly CO₂ technology. Polycarbonate(PC)production technology. Available online at: https://www.asahi-kasei.co.jp/tlb/en/
18. Licensee of Asahi Kasei technology begins commercial production of high-purity carbonates using CO2 as main feedstock in China. December 5, 2024. Available online at: https://www.asahi-kasei.com/news/2024/e241205_2.html
19. Inoue S., Koinuma H., Tsuruta T. // Die Makromol. Chem. 1969. V. 130. P. 210–220. https://doi.org/10.1002/macp.1969.021300112
20. Li Y., Zhang Y.-Y., Hu L.-F., Zhang X.-H., Du B.-Y., Xu J.-T. // Prog. Polym. Sci. 2018. V. 82. P. 120–157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.progpolymsci.2018.02.001
21. Wang, Y., Darensbourg D.J. // Coord. Chem. Rev. 2018. V. 372. P. 85–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ccr.2018.06.004
22. Song B., Qin A., Tang B.Z. // Cell Reports Physical Science. 2022. V. 3(2). Article 100719. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.xcrp.2021.100719
23. Ballamine A., Kotni A., Llored J.-P., Caillol S. // Sci. Tech. Energ. Transition. 2022. V. 77. Article 1. https://doi.org/10.2516/stet/2021001
24. Mbabazi R., Wendt O.F., Nyanzi S.A., Naziriwo B., Tebandeke E. // Results in Chemistry. 2022. V. 4. Article 100542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rechem.2022.100542
25. Carbon Dioxide (CO2) as Chemical Feedstock for Polymers – already nearly 1 million tonnes production capacity installed! nova-Institute GmbH. 29 January 2021. Renewable Carbon News. Available online at: https://renewable-carbon.eu/news/carbon-dioxide-co2-as-chemical-feedstock-for-polymers-already-nearly-1-million-tonnes-production-capacity-installed/
26. Черникова Е.В., Белецкая И.П. // Успехи химии. 2024. Т. 93(2). RCR5112. https://doi.org/10.59761/RCR5112. / Chernikova E.V., Beletskaya I.P. Russian Chemical Reviews. 2024. V. 93(2), RCR5112. https://doi.org/10.59761/RCR5112
27. Plastics from Thin Air: The Carbon Dioxide-Based Polymers Market. September 18, 2023. Available online at: https://www.plasticstoday.com/sustainability/plastics-from-thin-air-the-carbon-dioxide-based-polymers-market
28. Carbon Dioxide Market Size, Share & Industry Analysis, By Form (Liquid, Gas, and Solid), By Source (Ethyl Alcohol, Hydrogen, Ethylene Oxide, Substitute Natural Gas, and Others), By End-Use Industry (Food & Beverage, Oil & Gas, Metal Fabrication, Medical, Firefighting, and Others), and Regional Forecast, 2024-2032. Available online at: https://www.fortunebusinessinsights.com/carbon-dioxide-market-102866
29. IHS Markit. Introduction, in Chemical Economics Handbook – Carbon Dioxide. 2018. Available online at: https://ihsmarkit.com/products/carbon-dioxide-chemical-economics-handbook.html
30. IEA (International Energy Agency). Exploring Clean Energy Pathways: The Role of CO2 Storage, IEA, 2019. Paris. Available online at: www.iea.org/publications/reports/TheroleoCO2storage/.
31. Putting CO2 to Use. Creating value from emissions. IEA, Paris. 2019. Available online at: https://www.iea.org/reports/putting-co2-to-use
32. Lin Q., Zhang X,, Wang T., Zheng C., Gao X. // Engineering. 2022. V. 14. P. 27–32. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eng.2021.12.013.
33. Nevander M. Process modelling and techno-economic evaluation of production of CO2-based polycarbonate polyols. Master's Thesis, 2021. Aalto University, School of Engineering. Aalto University. Available online at: https://cris.vtt.fi/en/publications/process-modelling-and-techno-economic-evaluation-of-production-of
34. Carbon Dioxide Based Chemicals and Polymers Market to Grow with a CAGR of 10.60 % Globally through. Available online at: https://www.techsciresearch.com/news/16342-global-carbon-dioxide-based-chemicals-and-polymers-market.html
35. CO2 Based Polymers Market Trends, Share, Revenue, Growth Drivers, Challenges, Future Strategies and Competitive Analysis 2023-2033: SPER Market Research. Nov-2023. Available online at: https://www.sperresearch.com/press-release/co2-based-polymers-market-future-outlook.aspx
36. CO2 Based Polymers Market. Available online at: https://www.factmr.com/report/3916/co2-based-polymers-market
37. CO2-based Polymers Market Poised to Garner Maximum Revenues during 2021-2031, Says Fact.MR. Rewsewarch Reports. Available online at: https://www.globalbankingandfinance.com/co2-based-polymers-market-poised-to-garner-maximum-revenues-during-2021-2031-says-fact-mr/
38. CO2 Based Polymer Market Research Report. - Forecast to 2032. Available online at: https://www.marketresearchfuture.com/reports/co2-based-polymer-market-36164
39. Medical Polymers Market Growth Outlook (2023 to 2033) Available online at: https://www.factmr.com/report/1801/medical-grade-polymers-market
40. Carbon Dioxide Based Chemicals & Polymers Market- Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, 2018-2028 Segmented By Type, By Application, By Region and By Competition. June 1, 2023. Available online at: https://www.giiresearch.com/report/tsci1315682-carbon-dioxide-based-chemicals-polymers-market.html
41. Industry Analysis of CO2-based polymer in Europe. Available online at: https://www.factmr.com/report/industry-analysis-of-co-based-polymer-in-europe/toc
42. CO2-based Polymer Sales Outlook for Latin America (2023 to 2033). Available online at: https://www.factmr.com/report/industry-analysis-of-co2-based-polymer-in-latin-america
43. Российские полиуретаны: вызовы и точки роста. Available online at: https://magazine.sibur.ru/publication/direct/tnp/rossiyskie-poliuretany-vyzovy-i-tochki-rosta/?print=Y
44. Global Bio-Based Polymer Market – Industry Trends and Forecast to 2029. Apr 2022. Available online at: https://www.databridgemarketresearch.com/reports/global-bio-based-polymer-market
45. Wang H., Xu F., Zhang Z., Feng M., Jiang M., Zhang S. // RSC Sustainability. 2023. V. 1. P. 2162–2179. https://doi.org/10.1039/D3SU00248A
46. Bobbink F.D., Van Muyden A.P., Dyson P.J. // Chem. Commun. 2019. V. 55. P. 1360–1373. https://doi.org/10.1039/C8CC07907B.
47. Чуканова О.М.,Шеверденкина О.Г., Капашаров А.Т.. Черняк А.В., Седов И.В. // Кинетика и катализ. 2022. Т. 63. № 5. С. 559–571. https://doi.org/10.318571S045388122050021 / Chukanova O.M., Sheverdenkina O.G., Kapasharov A.T., Chernyak A.V., Sedov I.V. // Kinetics and Catalysis. 2022. V. 63. No. 5. P. 486–497. https://doi.org/10.1134/S0023158422050020
48. Carus M., Skoczinski P., Ruiz P., Dammer L., Raschka A., Tweddle G. Bio- and CO₂-based Polymers: Production, Trends 2022-2027 and the Latest Policy Developments. Nova-Session. March 2023. Proceedings (PDF). Available online at: https://renewable-carbon.eu/publications/product/nova-session-bio-and-co2-based-polymers-production-trends-2022-2027-and-the-latest-policy-developments-proceedings/
49. Latest Trends and Market Data for Bio-based and CO2-based Chemicals and Polymers. 08 Nov 2023. Available online at: https://www.greener-manufacturing.com/2023-agenda/latest-trends-market-data-bio-based-co2-based-chemicals-polymers
50. Global Bio- and CO2-Based Plastics and Polymers Report 2023: 400+ Companies Profiled Including NatureWorks, Total Corbion, Danimer Scientific, Novamont, Mitsubishi Chemicals and Indorama - ResearchAndMarkets.com. Available online at: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20230223005606/en/Global-Bio--and-CO2--Based-Plastics-and-Polymers-Report-2023-400-Companies-Profiled-Including-NatureWorks-Total-Corbion-Danimer-Scientific-Novamont-Mitsubishi-Chemicals-and-Indorama-ResearchAndMarkets.com
51. Volta technology (Avantium). Available online at: https://www.life-sciences-benelux.com/product/volta-technology-avantium-euronext-brussels-amsterdam-avtx-group-2001-34237.htm
Рецензия
Для цитирования:
Макарян И.А., Седов И.В. Развитие мирового рынка полимеров, получаемых каталитической конверсией СО2. Катализ в промышленности. 2026;26(4):3-20. https://doi.org/10.18412/1816-0387-2026-4-3-20
For citation:
Makaryan I.A., Sedov I.V. Global market trends for CO2-based polymers produced by catalytic conversion of CO2. Kataliz v promyshlennosti. 2026;26(4):3-20. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18412/1816-0387-2026-4-3-20
JATS XML



















